2. Currently there is a debate on the importance of preserving large tracts of land to maintain biodiversity. Many of the arguments for setting aside large tracts are based on studies of biodiversity on islands. In this problem you apply the power rule to determine the number of species of herpetofauna (amphibians and reptiles) as a function of island area for the given Caribbean islands. You are given the following data [1]:

Island

Area (mi2)

Species

Redunda

1

3

Montserrat

33

10

Jamaica

4,411

38

Cuba

46,736

97

 

a. Let N be the number of species and A be the area of the island, then the power law expression relating the number of species to the area of the island is given by

N = kAa.

Use the power law under Excel's trendline to best fit the data above. Plot the data and the best power law fit, then have Excel write the formula on your graph. How well does the graph match the data?

b. As in the previous problem, we want to fit a straight line to the logarithms of the data. From the allometric model above, we obtain the formula ln(N) = ln(k) + a ln(A). In the table above, take the logarithm of the Number of Species (ln(N)) and the logarithm of the Island Area (ln(A)). Use Excel's scatter plot and linear fit under trendline to see how this fits the data. Plot a graph of the logarithm of the data and the best straight line fit to these data. Show the formula for this straight line on your graph. Compare the coefficients obtained in this manner to the ones found in Part a. How well does the graph match the data?

c. From your calculations above give estimates to fill in the table below.

Island

Area (mi 2)

Species

Saba

5


Puerto Rico


40

Saint Croix

80


Hispaniola


88
d. How important is maintaining a large tract of land to the maintenance of biodiversity based on this model? What does the model predict is required in increased preserved area to double the number of species supported by the environment? (Give a numerical value for the factor multiplying the area of land to achieve this doubling of species.) Write a short paragraph explaining your results as best you can.


[1]Data from J. Mazumdar, An Introduction to Mathematical Physiology and Biology , Cambridge, 1989.